$ASX（日月光投控） · 海外大V持仓追踪

$ASX 现在是什么情况？

最近有人说了 $ASX 什么？

下面是最近 8 条提及 $ASX 的公开帖，按时间倒序。每条都附原帖链接，可自行核对。

• 2026-07-01看空原文
  Just some of the more interesting news I came across recently: 1. MS: Revised China humanoid shipments to reach 50,000 in 2026 from 14,000u and 28,000u earlier this year. 2. MS: Probe cards and test sockets likely to be priced hike (precious metal hikes + severe shortage of test pin capacity) 3. Capacitor price hikes: MLCC, aluminum electrolytic, tantalum, polymer aluminum, film, and super capacitors from Yageo. 4. $META Vistara architecture: Older DDR4 Memory with CXL as memory expansion 5. OpenAI achieved inference optimization breakthrough that halves costs and reduces GPU requirements. 6. LTAs are being signed with MLCC after Samsung signed LTA with US big tech customer 7. Grid power bottlenecks triggered 5x increase ($25B) in Brookfield's financing for $BE fuel cells. 8. Taiwan's chip packaging and testing supply chain includes major OSAT providers such as $ASX, Powertech, Winstek Semiconductor, Chipbond, ChipMOS, and ShunSin. Dedicated testing companies include KYEC, Ardentec, and Sigurd Microelectronics, while testing interface suppliers include WinWay, MPI, Keystone Microtech, Chunghwa Precision, and Hermes Testing Solutions. Leadframe makers include Jih Lin Tech, SDI, and CWTC, while major IC substrate suppliers include Unimicron, Kinsus, Nan Ya PCB, and Zhen Ding Tech. (Digitimes) - Taiwan-based OSAT providers are raising prices - Memory and IC packaging and testing capacity have both become bottlenecks in the semiconductor supply chain
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• 2026-06-06中性原文
  Okay... just some more weekend shower thoughts about $XFAB. I still feel like it could be the next $TSEM, just early stage at a $1.4B MC? They kinda leapfrogged current gens (which $TSEM are getting volume from) to compete for H2 2027 CPO scale up inflection point ($ASX docs cite Xfab (aka. photonixFAB) as focusing on CPO) By building out some black magic MTP (transfer printing) architecture for lasers w/ other stuff like TFLN. Basically next-gen integration IP, they're still behind on yields, sure. But $NVDA evaluating it for transceivers/switches to see if it can volume ramp. That $NOK sets the specifications/assembly for. (nvidia invested in nokia for this these switches/networking too btw). And if their MTP supply chain works... (eg. with Smartphotonics providing lasers, EU players doing assembly). It basically volume ramps with $NVDA just like why Nvidia signed long term agreements with $TSEM? Downside risk? Already below replacement book value, can always go lower yeah, but typically to a certain point. Maybe more CHIPS act subsidies next few months from chips act 2. If it doesn't go well there's SiC (152% Y/Y Growth, 195% Y/Y SiC wafer shipment growth)/GaN power semi upside. Europeans /LLMs will say "oh evaluations doesn't mean it's a future contract!". This is kinda different since the European Union is behind this effort and $XFAB for soverign photonic supply chains. Not your typical company + hyperscaler evaluation, since $NVDA wants to be nice to Europe's regulators. They'd prob be pissed if nvidia just stayed in US/Taiwan/China. So if they can make this MTP black magic work with mass production, feels almost for sure nvidia/nokia volume ramp on some tiny $1.4B silicon photonics foundry or at least throw them a bone with smaller contracts. In terms of timelines, maybe just a months early since it volume ramps H2 2027/H1 2028 (which happens to be in line with CPO scale up timelines)... Or just unknown because they named their project something stupid like photonixfab? Like XFAB Photonics would have been better? so institutions/screeners can connect the dots when looking at CPO silicon photonic foundry players? Automotive should also coming out of a slump medium term, sped up by self-driving (TSM Chairmain comments yesterday said ai automotive was TSM's growth vector alongside robotics). So their core business also should pick up speed too medium term. Obviously markets/europeans want a "Nvidia signs $2B+ contract, XFab volume ramping 2027!" But by then it will be a $9B+ company and you miss out on all the upside. And especially since everyone analyst/institution is blind to volume expectations for these.... Normally don't invest in companies in evaluation stages, but this just seems very de-risked by EU sovereignty + Gov backing, and you have Nvidia + Nokia there for volumes if they can make the IP work. I think markets are probably missing something here... there's almost 0 value being assigned to being CPO exposure in Europe as their long term upside.
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• 2026-05-21看多原文
  Just as I say this: $AMD invests $10B+ into Taiwan ecosystem (for securing capacity/scaling infra) AMD is collaborating with $ASX and SPIL. As well as ODM partners like “ $SANM, Wiwynn (6669), Wistron (3231) and Inventec (2356). PTI, Unimicron, AIC, Nan Ya PCB, and Kinsus were also name dropped as direct beneficiaries. And of course second order beneficiaries like Foci or MSScorps also benefit. But bullish on Taiwan supply chains all around from $AMD news.
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• 2026-05-12中性原文
  Random CPO related names I like: - $SIVE - Foci (3363) - $TSEM - Browave (3163) - PCL (4977) - $AXTI - Msscorps (6830) - $IQE - Shunsin (6451) - Furukawa Electric (5801) - $MTSI - Nextronics (8417) - $LITE - $COHR - FitTech (6706) - $GFS - $ASX - LandMark (3081) - $SOI Disclosure: I own most, not all though.
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• 2026-05-05看多原文
  Pretty sure institutions like GS missed Shunsin (6451) at $1.65B for CPO packaging/test/assembly. Which is why I'm very bullish on it as a completely backdoored, hidden + major beneficiary of $NVDA CPO ramp. Foxconn is a major supply chain partner among $TSM and $ASX. But… Shunsin is Foxconn's optical arm, and captures their captive optical and advanced packaging volume. So they're not explicitly listed anywhere or have direct contracts with Nvidia (but Foxconn does) But likely soaks up Nvidia CPO + other volumes through Foxconn vertical integration.
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• 2026-04-30中性原文
  From the reference... it does look like Lightmatter uses $SIVE lasers? Which is brand new information discovery and extremely positive for Sivers. Lightmatter is a massive private leader (~$4.4B valuation back in 2024), with $TSM, $GFS, $TSEM, $AMKR, and $ASX scaling their optical program. And Lightmatter does require a light source... $SIVE also happens to be on the $GFS laser source suppliers alongside $LITE, so starting to put the dots together? End users are likely your hyperscalers like $MSFT, $GOOGL (they invested), $META, etc through Lightmatter-GUC and others. I don't think markets have priced all of this in, since all the supply chain BOM is very confidential + speculative. But when CPO and next-gen photonic architectures scale up, volume ramp revenue will appear out of nowhere on the balance sheet.
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• 2026-03-20中性
  Serenity 硅光/CPO ETF。 各成分股年内收益： $IQE: +282.5% $AXTI: +246.6% Landmark: +167.54% $AAOI: +157.37% $SIVE: +113.08% $SOI: +103.54% $LITE: +100.27% $LWLG: +92.35% $VIAV: +88.71% $AIXA: +73.92% $AEHR: +70.4% $CIEN: +67.67% $FORM: +60.67% $FOCI: +60.44% $CAMT: +49.13% $GLW: +46.77% $SMHN: +45.94% 藤仓: +43.89% $COHR: +41.81% $KEYS: +40.48% $TSEM: +36.42% $ASX: +29.89% $MTSI: +28.34% $NOK: +27.5% 信越: +27.33% $ONTO: +26.28% $BESI: +24.71% $UMC: +18.11% $INTC: +17.27% $OXINF: +15.03% $FN: +12.79% 新易盛: +11.82% $TSM: +6.00% $HIMX: +5.39% $SMTC: +4.11% 住友: +3.67% $CSCO: +3.25% 中际旭创: +0.33% $MRVL: +0.16% $APH: -6.48% $MXL: -7.62% $AVGO: -7.99% $POET: -12.99% $TEL: -14.93% 这是回头看的数据，但你们知道我在很多赢家里待了很久（比如前6/7名里除Landmark外的 $AXTI、$LITE）。 不过如果你好奇年初等权投资整个光子趋势会怎样—— 等权收益是？ 50.033% 我预计光子超级周期将持续数年，其中很多标的会是大受益者。 尤其当CPO被用于AI规模化部署时。 光子是AI的新架构范式。
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• 2026-03-17看多
  即将到来的CPO/硅光瓶颈速查表： $SIVE、住友、$LITE、$COHR、$AVGO、$MTSI、$AAOI —— 光源（CW DFB激光器） $TSEM、$GFS、$UMC、$TSM、$INTC —— 硅光代工 $NOK、$CIEN、$CSCO、$COHR —— DCO $HIMX、上诠FOCI（3363.TWO）—— 微透镜+光纤阵列 $POET —— 光学中介层 $SOI、$AXTI、信越 —— 衬底 $FN、$ASX、中际旭创、新易盛 —— 光学封装与组装 $MTSI、$SMTC、$MRVL、$MXL —— 模拟/混合信号IC $LWLG —— 投机性调制器材料 $GLW、$APH、$TEL、$FIT、藤仓 —— 连接器与光纤 $FORM、$KEYS、$VIAV、$AEHR —— 测试测量 $BESI、$SMHN、$ONTO、$CAMT —— 先进封装与混合键合 还有很多私有公司：Lightmatter、Ayar、Ranovus等。 现在……大家都在问：怎么赚钱？ 看CPO TAM的预测，就是一条直线向上，明年是CPO大规模部署的拐点。 超额收益在于捕捉轮动： 从当前的EML瓶颈（$LITE、$COHR 类）转向CPO时代的硅光/CW DFB架构赢家。 上行空间最大的，是那些不在当前周期里、 但会在下一个周期里的。 $SOI、$SIVE、$AEHR 就是完美例子。 吃着当前可插拔瓶颈的 $AAOI 也要拿住。 但超额收益是抢在机构前面布局下一个CPO瓶颈。 资本轮动是必然的。
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