$CLSK · 海外大V持仓追踪

$CLSK 现在是什么情况？

最近有人说了 $CLSK 什么？

下面是最近 8 条提及 $CLSK 的公开帖，按时间倒序。每条都附原帖链接，可自行核对。

• 2026-07-20看空
  $IREN +19.69%，因上调ARR目标至40亿美元以上（受新增AI云合约驱动）。客户名单现已包括微软、英伟达、Perplexity 和 Figure。 $HUT +10.45%，受一份15年期98亿美元的AI数据中心租约提振。 $CIFR +16.76% $CLSK +13.7% $WYFI +9.18% $NBIS 和 $CRWV 这次涨得慢半拍。 不过看起来Neocloud/托管商板块正随着新催化剂（比如Kimi算力短缺的消息、新合约）在大幅反弹。
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• 2025-11-22看空原文
  The Neocloud Sector Tierlist. Post Q3 earnings + Market Sector Drop: [S] Tier: $NBIS [A] Tier: $CIFR, $WULF, $IREN [B] Tier: $GLXY, $CORZ [C] Tier: $APLD, $CLSK [D] Tier: $WLAC, $DGDX, $WYFI [F] Tier, $CRWV*, $SLNH [U] Tier: $GRRR, $MARA, $DGDX, $CLSK, $BITF, $HIVE, $RIOT ** Ranked in order from left to right. * : Short-term pricing drops created compelling entries (e.g., $CRWV), but med-term (12m) attractiveness remains limited. **: Uncertain, decided not to rate them (but put them in tierlist photo as F). Some pure miners haven't fully pivot into HPC yet + too much contract uncertainty. Lot of people asked about updates post earnings, these are just personal thoughts based on weighted assessments of: a. Contract visibility and revenue certainty b. Resilience to macro tightening and credit conditions c. Balance sheet strength and margin profile d. HPC buildout risk (capacity execution and orchestration) e. Revenue growth trajectory (1–2 year horizon) f. Current market capitalization relative to revenue ramp and infrastructure value The whole Neocloud sector is compelling but some have clearly higher asymmetrical return over others as of Q3.
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• 2025-11-22看多原文
  I did, rated $DGXX D tier. Originally put it in U like $CLSK, but forgot to edit them out when I looked into them further. Correct me if I'm wrong but $DGXX $65m revenue is unsecured, there's no anchor tenant like $CIFR is to $GOOGL or $CORZ is to $CRWV. There's also more execution risk on pivot, just due to the fact it's a microcap company + little history in HPC. They've already diluted with a $100M ATM, so there's less dilution now at least compared to $SLNH, which will need to dilute heavily in the future. But it's more speculative along the lines of $WLAC (WLAC has fluidstack partnership so potential of $GOOGL backstop) that was added in. They also have $92M in liquid assets with no bad debt, which is absolutely huge given their marketcap size (but like others, that will be spent on the buildout), but execution risk is priced in to the Tier. Doesn't mean it's a bad stock, I own $WLAC because of high potential upside too and put it in D tier. Just wanted to distinguish between the nuances between companies in the sector (contract visibility + execution).
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• 2025-11-22中性原文
  So I think you're replying to points I never made. Just to clarify: I didn't rate $BITF. If you read my post, it fell into the unrated category, so I'm not debating where it goes in comparison with $WYFI or $SLNH. As for $SLNH, we're not disagreeing on anything I put it as F tier as well since it's a hype stock that requires excessive debt/dilution on their "2.8GW capacity" buildout plans. You said for $NBIS "how attached it is to Bitcoin Mining and if they own their power" - I'll take that as a mispeak and that you were using Bitcoin mining in reference with $CLSK, and that you were referencing capacity for $NBIS +. $NBIS achieved near long-term parity with $IREN from the capacity side, which is associated as the highest GW capacity player in the industry. So I'd argue that part is incorrect. So as for $SMCI being a reliable/trustworthy partner argument, I sort of disagree, but you did change my mind regarding $DGXX having lower operational and technical execution risk. That aside, that part wouldn't really change rankings, eg. putting it the same as $APLD which has 2 hyperscaler contracts (if you include $CRWV) but downside from junk bonds (revenue visibility) If you wanted to put it on par with $CLSK just due to return potential from MC size, I'd give you that.
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• 2025-11-17看多
  Nebius [ $NBIS ] 价格为 $86.69，是目前剩下的最纯粹 Neocloud 和 AI 基础设施非对称机会。 这是未受 $CIFR | $WULF 和托管服务提供商影响、收入最高的 Neocloud，并且没有： - $IREN、$ORCL 因全栈执行而面临的困扰性不确定性。 - $CRWV、$APLD 以及其他公司面临的高息债务。 - $CLSK、$BITF、$WYFI、$SLNH 以及其他公司所缺乏的、与超大规模云厂商合同相关的大规模收入确定性问题。 在 AI 板块被恐惧笼罩、市场普遍下跌之后： Nebius 正在推进：明年 ARR 中值 $8B、现金 $4.7B+、企业客户多元化（来自 $META、$MSFT、$ACN、$SHOP、政府）、高速增长的投资组合公司，以及经验证的全栈高利润率业务。 在需求极度旺盛、执行不确定性（利润率），以及与当前困扰市场的 OpenAI 合同依赖和信贷收紧问题相隔离的情况下： 就非对称上涨空间而言，没有任何东西能接近 Nebius。 你只是在等待公司执行兑现。
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• 2025-11-14中性原文
  We're seeing a live crash in AI + DC stocks right now with $IREN down 37.88% this week to $NBIS down 35.27% this month. Panic stems from Credit Tightening, High Interest Debt, OpenAI contagion, Macro, and most importantly: Irrational Fear. Here's what happening real time: 1. Credit Tightening - Companies like $APLD failed to sell bonds (under subscribed) and ended up issuing $2.35B in high yield debt offerings - Bloomberg Nov 14th. The bonds were sold at 97 cents on the dollar, a significant discount, with a yield of approximately 10%. The bond deal's risk is primarily tied to Applied Digital's reliance on $CRWV, which accounts for a substantial portion of its contracted earnings. More institutional cation (eg. Burry short report on GPU depreciation) around the buildout makes it harder for DC's to raise funds. Tightening funding conditions affect the entire ecosystem that issue debt to fund their own buildout. 2. High Interest Debt - Due to credit tightening, bad debt, which $CRWV has to fund expansion, causes $1B+ in losses a year. This cuts into margins and FCF. Likewise, $APLD and others that raise funds with bad yields face the same future issues and we're seeing a selloff in related companies for risk-management. 3. $1T+ in OpenAI promised funding without balances - Over $1 trillion+ in capex was promised by OpenAI going to $22.4B+ $CRWV and $300B+ to $ORCL, which they are building capacity for. The market is now skeptical of these promises from OpenAI due to not having the balances on hand and taking a risk-off approach. And now we're seeing contagion on that buildout from companies like Coreweave spread down to $CORZ and $APLD during this buildout that might rely on $CRWV for future revenue. 4. $CRWV is a sector leaders of AI infrastructure (and partially $ORCL). When the sector leader sell-off, usually others follow suit. 5. Rate Cut odds in December Fall: On top of the high interest debt, we're seeing rate cut odds in December drop to a coinflip ~53%. Having higher interest rates make it trouble for interest-debt burdened companies like $CRWV to refinance for stronger FCF. _ THE NUANCE and Repositioning: We're seeing a broad sell-off across the board. However, Capex and contracts from Mag7 ( $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT ) are confirmed with their extreme profitability. There's an easy way to safely reposition to avoid issues with future revenue growth + debt cycles. 1. Position into Neoclouds with contract visibility with Mag7: - $NBIS - $19B $MSFT deal, $3B from $META, broad enterprise support - $CIFR - $5.5B Colo deal with $AMZN, $3B deal with $GOOGL - $WULF - $3.7B+ deals with $GOOGL and more. - $IREN - $9B deal with $MSFT We will likely see more capacity speculative companies like $SLNH, $CLSK, and others fall off and consolidation into Neoclouds with visible enterprise contract (low downside risk of future revenue). 2. Position into Neoclouds with no/extremely low interest debt and high balance sheets: Companies like $NBIS are isolated from current credit market volatility as they have $4.79 billion in cash and cash equivalents from convertible notes. Or companies like $CIFR with $1.2B in cash. 3. Avoid companies with direct contracts with OpenAI that's not Mag7. _ Neoclouds are the backbone of Mag7 AI compute. This thesis has not changed and we'll likely see some scale to $100B+ companies in the future as the next AWS. However, we're seeing a widespread, indiscriminate sell-off caused by $CRWV, $ORCL, and OpenAI + credit tightening (partially due to incorrect institutional short reports from Burry on GPU depreciation). These types of sell-offs are completely not warranted for companies like $NBIS with $7-9B forward ARR and extremely strong balance sheets. But for other speculative companies, it's a well-needed correction. A good quote is “retail is last to sell, last to buy back”. If you think you can sell and come back two weeks later, missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost you most of the recovery gains. Institutions are probably buying the better names right now eg. $NBIS through dark pools/block trades now after these types of washouts and margin liquidations. We've also seen institutional ownership go from 38%-> 43-46% despite share prices dropping. Use this as a buying opportunity for good names, and hold through these periods of volatility.
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• 2025-10-27看多
  Neocloud 论点经受住了时间考验。 1 个月后： $CRWV 120.34 → 135.64 (+12.7%) $NBIS 107.70 → 126.49 (+17.5%) $WULF 10.63 → 13.69 (+28.8%) $IREN 41.68 → 64.69 (+55.2%) $CIFR 11.47 → 20.70 (+80.4%) $BITF 2.54 → 4.51 (+77.6%) $WYFI 22.83 → 36.52 (+59.9%) $GRRR 19.90 → 16.95 (−14.8%) $SLNH 2.75 → 2.81 (+2.2%) $RIOT 17.69 → 23.01 (+30.1%) $MARA 16.13 → 19.61 (+21.6%) $CLSK 12.96 → 20.21 (+56.0%) $HUT 33.16 → 49.95 (+50.6%) 这只是史上最大规模 AI 数据中心建设潮的开端，finx 上的每个人现在仍然处于早期。 我整体上非常看好 Neocloud 板块，但个人更集中配置 $NBIS，因为它具备最高的不对称回报潜力。
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• 2025-09-27看多
  NeoCloud 论点：超大规模云厂商资本开支漏斗 为什么我把 $1.5M+ 投入 Neoclouds，以及为什么这可能带来 200-300%+ 的回报。 🔹 分类 Mag7 合同：$CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅ 拥有算力：$IREN ✅, $BITF 投机型：$WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH 转向 HPC 的矿企：$RIOT, $MARA, $CLSK, $HUT 论点： Mag7 的 AI 算力紧张，这是 $NVDA 有意造成的。 通常流经 AWS、MSFT Azure、Google Cloud 用于传统计算的数万亿资本开支，现在会在它们无法承接来自 Anthropic、OpenAI、Gemini 等的新 AI 负载时，流入 NeoClouds。 这是十年一遇的机会，类似于 GPU 军备竞赛让 $NVDA 成为 $4T 公司；这次赌的是未来 5-10 年谁来为 AWS/Azure/等提供基础设施动力。 NBIS（来自 MSFT 的 17B）、CIFR / WULF（来自 GOOGL 的 3B）、CRWV（由 NVDA 提供支持）都在以数百个百分点扩张（NBIS 从季度收入 150M 增长到可能 1.5B+），毛利率达 60-80%。 这种收入增长在历史上几乎闻所未闻。主要原因是最富有的超大规模云厂商正在把资本开支导入小公司。 NVDA / TSM（2022->）：为超大规模云厂商提供 GPU CRDO / ALAB（2024 ->）：赢得超大规模云厂商订单 -> 抛物线式增长。 NBIS/CIFR/IREN/等（2025 - ）AWS/Azure/等 -> 来自 AI 算力的抛物线式增长 这就是你获得数百 % 回报的方式，而不是在 Paypal 上做价值投资。顺势搭乘下一代公司。 所以空头论点通常围绕 - 执行风险（以前更具投机性，现在像 NBIS 这样的公司已有 4B+ 可用于执行） 人们总能担心执行问题，但 Microsoft 或 Google 不会在没有自己尽调的情况下签下如此大规模的 5-10 年合同。 - 高利率（主要说的就是你 CRWV），这就是为什么 NBIS、CIFR 和其他公司有潜在惊人回报。 $NBIS 获得了 4B+ 融资，价格在每股 $138+（而现在是 $107）。$CIFR 获得融资，价格在每股 $16+，而现在是 $11。高于当前股价的融资是看涨信号。 - GPU 折旧（合理担忧，但它几乎像石油，即使旧型号也保值，并仍能带来权益价值）。 - 估值（我仍认为我们才刚开始。如果 NBIS 明年收入扩张到 6B、毛利率 75%，26B 市值极其小。） - NVDA 可能推出自己的 GPU-as-a-service 并直接竞争。目前这些 Neoclouds 是 NVDA 防止算力集中到 Azure/AWS/等的答案。 - 超大规模云厂商自研芯片，如 TPU、Trainium。但可能还要很多年，因为他们仍在苦求 NVDA 算力，并签下了 5Y-10Y 合同。 无论如何，这些像 Nebius 这样的 neoclouds 相对于远期收入/毛利率来说真的被低估了。 我们仍然非常早期。确保像搭乘 Trump 当选时的 Crypto/TSLA，或 OpenAI 发布时的 NVDA 一样，搭上 Neocloud 浪潮。 当然，这高度投机，我不会 YOLO 满仓买 calls，但从风险回报看，这些 5-20B 的小型 neoclouds 为 Google/MSFT/等、也就是 Mag7 的现金奶牛，提供 AI 工作负载动力，是值得的。（交易时间周期：8m - 1 year。） 这是 2025-2026 年最好的单一非对称 AI 基础设施交易。
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